This weeks theme is heart break; but before you stop reading, it isn’t like that dumb heart break normal people have. I’m talking about fantasy heartbreak. Odds are you have at least one guy on your team you talked up on draft night after you took him. For me that guy was Toby Gerhart. Last week, Gerhart had a very good matchup against a Washington team, but only received 7 carries on the day for 8 yards. Now it’s not totally his fault, and I’m sure he is a very nice guy, but this is the last week I lose a game because of Toby Gerhart and I suggest you make the same decision; you need to just suck up your pride and bench him. As always you can get a hold of me @PatrickJudis on twitter for any questions or if you want to yell at me when I’m wrong. That’s cool too. Now let’s get to this week’s the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly.
Bernard Pierce BAL: Many people expected Forsett to be the lead back after a fine performance against the Bengals, but on Thursday night it was Pierce who received 22 carries against the Steelers. This week Baltimore is going into Cleveland, where the Browns are flying high after a very unexpected victory against the Saints; but in that game Ingram had a 7.5 yards per carry. That’s more than enough reason to expect Pierce to have a solid outing.
Doug Martin or Bobby Rainey TB: This is 100% dependent on if Martin plays this week. I assume he will, but he was a surprise scratch last week. Either way, the Falcons run defense has given up 119 and 164 yards to RBs in their first 2 performances. Every one of those RBs has averaged over 4 yards per carry as well. If Martin doesn’t play, don’t hesitate to put Rainey in as he had 22 carries for 144 yards last week in Martin’s absence.
Knile Davis KC: This guy will likely fly off the waiver wire, if the guy who has Charles wasn’t smart enough to handcuff his best RB. His yard per carry wasn’t amazing, but he was heavily involved in the passing game and also had 2 TDs. He’s a solid option until Charles comes back from his high ankle sprain.
Le’veon Bell PIT: You probably can’t afford to sit Bell, but don’t expect him to blow your mind this week. That front 7 for Carolina is great against the run. Really, the only thing that will make him a decent play is a 1 yard TD plunge; but again it’s a bad match up.
Frank Gore SF: Luckily for Frank Gore, the Carlos Hyde hype (see what I did there?) died down a little bit as Hyde had 4 carries for 0 yards; however this week he goes up against a pretty good Arizona run defense. You might just have to take the risk with Gore, but if it’s between him and someone with a very good match up, you might want to pull the trigger and bench him for a week.
Andre Ellington ARZ: Last week Ellington had a good outing, but with the 49ers coming into Arizona he might have some tough sledding against that defense. If you have him in a PPR league he’s still a nice option, but I’d try and keep him on the bench in standard leagues.
Monte Ball DEN: So far on in the season, Ball has yet to eclipse the 70 rushing yard mark in a game. Simply said, if he isn’t scoring a TD, he isn’t having a good day for you. He has added a total of 5 catches for 45 yards (that’s between both games). He even had a good match up last week against the Chiefs and couldn’t give owners a solid day. As always, going up against Seattle won’t help a struggling RB’s woes; but even in weeks after, you can’t rely on him to always have a solid output. Especially with an offense that loves to throw near the goal line.
Jeremy Hill CIN: Hue Jackson said Hill would be more involved this last week and he was not lying. Hill had 74 yards and a TD against a bad Atlanta run defense. Luckily for Hill the Bengals are going up against a Tennessee defense that gave up a huge game to Murray. If you’re hurting for a flex guy this week, Hill is your guy.
Demaryous Thomas DEN: This goes against my never start a WR against that Seattle defense, especially at home; but lets not forget in the Super Bowl DEN sacrificed Decker, so Thomas could take advantage of not having Sherman on him. He went on to break the record for catches in a Super Bowl. I expect them to at least keep that part of their game plan the same.
Mike Wallace MIA: So far this year Wallace has been on fire, reaching the end zone in both of his games so far. I expect that trend to continue against a Chiefs team that, thus far, hasn’t faired well against the pass; giving up 5 passing TDs so far on the year.
Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd: 2 things real quick, first, this is dependent on Palmer playing, and second, I don’t think both of these guys will go off; but I do think, at worst, you’ll get a solid game out of one of them and the other goes off. Last week the 49ers struggled with the size of Brandon Marshall. I doubt Arizona didn’t take notice of that. I think there will be quite a few jump balls for both of these guys.
Kendall Wright TEN: I was burned by Locker last week, but so was Wright. Locker missed quite a few open throws and failed to take advantage of a bad Dallas defense. It isn’t going to get easier having to go into Cincinnati. He’s still a solid PPR option, but go ahead and bench him in standard.
Torrey Smith BAL: So far on the year, Smith has 4 catches for 60 yards. Now he’ll be going up against Joe Haden. Smith is the definition of a boom or bust player and so far this season he hasn’t even been close to a boom.
Michael Crabtree SF: Crabtree had a good game against the Bears after struggling against the Cowboys; but he’s going into Arizona and will likely be matched up with Patrick Peterson, which isn’t great.
Emanuel Sanders DEN: Remember earlier how I said in the Super Bowl last year Denver sacrificed Decker; well with Sanders replacing Decker, I feel like he will be with Sherman most of the game. I think he still has a chance to produce a decent game in PPR settings, but I’d bench him if you have the option.
Brian Quick: If you are in a PPR league, pick this guy up because he is probably available. So far he has had 7 catches in both games (14 total) and is the clearly a ‘go to’ guy for that offense. It doesn’t hurt that he’s up against Dallas.
Heath Miller PIT: Believe it or not, Carolina doesn’t defend TEs well. Miller is still a “if you have to” start, not a can’t miss start; but I bet he is available if you need a replacement.
Delanie Walker TEN: Walker has had a TD in both games so far and has been a favorite target of Locker’s. It isn’t a great match up against the Bengals, but it isn’t bad either. I suggest riding the hot hand if you need a sneaky TE play.
Jason Witten DAL: The Rams are great at shutting down opposing TEs and this week Witten is up. You still probably have to start him no matter what, but it isn’t the best situation for Witten.
Jordan Cameron CLE: I suggest you don’t worry about if Cameron plays or not this week and find a replacement instead. Obviously he’s coming back from an injury, but Baltimore is also one of the better defenses against TEs.
Kirk Cousins WAS: I have a feeling Washington will have a difficult decision to make when RG3 finally comes back, but as far as fantasy is concerned Gruden loves throwing the ball and Cousins playing hasn’t made him gun shy. The Eagles have given up at least 2 passing TDs a game so far this year. If you had RG3 and no backup, go ahead and start this guy.
Joe Flacco BAL: Kubiack’s offense has really made Flacco look pretty good so far this year. He has 3 TDs compared to one INT. Meanwhile the Browns have given up quite a few passing yards a game and 3 TD passes so far. Again, don’t start him over a stud QB; but if you need a guy, Flacco is a pretty good option.
Peyton Manning DEN: Never bench Manning, but lets face it, we all saw the Super Bowl last year. You just have to hope it ends up different somehow.
Colin Kaepernick SF: Arizona’s pass defense, and defense in general, is legit. Kaepernick is the guy this week who has to find a way to make plays against this defense; which I’m not very confident about myself, especially passing wise.
The Patriots vs The Raiders
The Colts at The Jaguars
The Texans at The Giants